Hergiswil vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
LSS
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HER
3 - 2
RUS
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ZUG
1 - 1
HER
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
GOL
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
4 - 2
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 4
SAR
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 0
LSS
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 3
SAR
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 2
FCB
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VED
3 - 4
SAR
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |