Hergiswil vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 2
HER
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 4
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LOC
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
HER
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 4
GOL
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAV
0 - 2
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 1
PER
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
LUG
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
BRU
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |