Hergiswil vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUZ
4 - 2
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
TAV
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PER
0 - 6
HER
20%
18%
61%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 5
HER
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
HOC
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 4
HOC
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 0
LUG
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
ASC
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VED
4 - 1
LUG
35%
22%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
ESC
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |