Hergiswil vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EMM
4 - 2
HER
60%
19%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
FCC
42%
22%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
HER
48%
20%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
FCS
42%
23%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
IBA
1 - 2
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LUZ
1 - 1
EMM
35%
22%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FCC
0 - 1
LUZ
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LUZ
1 - 2
PER
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 0
LUZ
49%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
LUZ
1 - 2
IBA
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |