Hergiswil vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 0
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
PER
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
CAS
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 0
HER
39%
21%
40%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LUZ
2 - 1
HOC
41%
22%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRU
3 - 3
LUZ
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 2
ASC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VED
2 - 3
LUZ
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LUZ
3 - 0
ESC
44%
24%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |