Hergiswil vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LSS
4 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
SAR
5 - 2
HER
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 6
EMM
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 2
HER
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
FCS
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
EMM
4 - 0
LUZ
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 0
IBA
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 0
LUZ
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LUZ
3 - 3
FCA
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |