Hergiswil vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 2
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HAU
1 - 5
HER
5%
10%
86%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
ESC
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ZOF
1 - 2
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 1
TAV
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 3
IBA
20%
23%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 0
IBA
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 1
TAV
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
IBA
28%
22%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |