Hergiswil vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
LUZ
41%
23%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 0
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
PER
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
CAS
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 2
HOC
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 0
IBA
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VED
0 - 0
IBA
16%
18%
66%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
IBA
3 - 0
ESC
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |