Hergiswil vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAV
3 - 1
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
FCA
49%
23%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 0
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
ESC
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
HER
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 0
FCS
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 1
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 1
LSS
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 1
TAV
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
IBA
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |