Hergiswil vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ESC
0 - 2
HER
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
HER
4 - 2
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 3
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 3
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
EMM
3 - 2
GOL
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
1 - 2
IBA
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -3 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
GOL
5 - 5
MAL
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
FCM
1 - 3
GOL
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |