Hergiswil vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
36%
23%
40%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HER
0 - 3
TAV
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCC
1 - 4
HER
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
PER
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EMM
0 - 1
HER
49%
20%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCS
0 - 2
TEA
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRU
3 - 1
FCS
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 7
LUZ
51%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 3
FCS
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
IBA
3 - 1
FCS
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |