Hergiswil vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
IBA
1 - 2
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HER
0 - 5
RTK
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TAV
2 - 0
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 3
MEN
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 1
HER
37%
21%
43%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 2
BUL
15%
19%
65%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
FCS
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 3
PER
67%
17%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
IBA
0 - 0
FCS
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ROT
1 - 3
FCS
9%
14%
77%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |