Hergiswil vs FC Paradiso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BRU
0 - 2
HER
14%
16%
69%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 3
HER
21%
19%
61%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Paradiso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 2
LUG
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
FCP
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 0
TAV
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
FCP
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 0
FCS
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |