Hergiswil vs Collina d'Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
50.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
14º
14º
45
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
HER
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
ZUG
28%
24%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 4
HER
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 2
FCC
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 2
BRU
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ZUG
1 - 1
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 0
SCE
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |