Hergiswil vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
SAR
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
4 - 2
HER
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 3
GUN
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 1
FCA
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 0
RUS
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 2
GOL
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FCA
49%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
IBA
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |