Hergiswil vs Brunnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
14º
14º
41
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
CHA
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
HER
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
SCE
0 - 0
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
BUO
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
FCS
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 2
ASC
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZUG
2 - 0
BRU
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
SCE
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 5
BRU
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
PER
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |