Hergiswil vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
HER
6 - 1
GCB
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BUO
2 - 2
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 2
HER
40%
22%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 3
HER
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 3
BAD
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
0 - 0
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
BAD
19%
22%
58%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
BAD
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
BLA
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |