Hergiswil vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 1
HER
24%
22%
55%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HER
0 - 4
EMM
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TAV
2 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HER
4 - 1
BRU
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
MEN
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 0
FCC
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EMM
3 - 2
ASC
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ASC
4 - 0
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TAV
2 - 1
ASC
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 0
NOV
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |