Hergiswil vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
HER
22%
19%
60%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
IBA
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 2
HER
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HAU
1 - 5
HER
5%
10%
86%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 5
TAV
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 3
ESC
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LOC
6 - 1
ASC
52%
23%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
9 - 1
ASC
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -3 |