Hergiswil vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VED
2 - 1
HER
30%
20%
50%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 2
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
ZOF
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
HER
2 - 4
GOL
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
IBA
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 0
HOC
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 0
BRU
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
ASC
6 - 0
ESC
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASC
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VED
2 - 0
ASC
30%
23%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |