Hergiswil vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
HER
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
ESC
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BUO
4 - 2
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
ZOF
24%
22%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 1
HER
22%
20%
57%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
IBA
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HOC
0 - 0
ASC
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 0
MAL
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUN
3 - 1
ASC
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |