Hergiswil vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
4 - 2
HER
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 3
GUN
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BUO
3 - 1
HER
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GOL
2 - 2
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
LUZ
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 4
ASC
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 1
ASC
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 3
GOL
50%
22%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ASC
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |