Hergiswil vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HER
2 - 6
LUG
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
TAV
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
HER
21%
18%
61%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
FCS
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NOV
5 - 1
ESC
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
2 - 2
NOV
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
FCP
8%
15%
77%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
IBA
3 - 3
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRU
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |