Hergiswil vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
2 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 2
HER
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 4
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
TAV
32%
22%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
21%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
LOC
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
0 - 2
NOV
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 3
FCA
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |