Hergiswil vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KUS
2 - 10
HER
14%
16%
71%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
GOL
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 1
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
WIL
69%
16%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
46%
21%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
CAS
34%
22%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
HOC
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TEA
1 - 0
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
4 - 1
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 0
KUS
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |