Herfølge BK II vs B 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herfølge BK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GVI
2 - 3
HBK
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
HBK
2 - 1
FRE
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
B19
1 - 3
HBK
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
HBK
2 - 0
BKF
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCH
4 - 3
HBK
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
B 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BON
2 - 3
FRE
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ABT
4 - 2
BON
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BON
0 - 3
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VBK
5 - 3
BON
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BON
0 - 1
LBK
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |