CONCACAF Champions 1/16

Global 4-4

CS Herediano vs Toluca analysis

CS Herediano Toluca
73 ELO 81
3.5% Tilt -9.5%
1311º General ELO ranking 332º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.6%
CS Herediano
24.5%
Draw
44.9%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
CS Herediano
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.9%
Win probability
Toluca
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CS Herediano
+7%
+13%
Toluca

ELO progression

CS Herediano
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CS Herediano
CS Herediano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
GRE
Municipal Grecia
0 - 1
CS Herediano
CSH
20%
26%
54%
73 57 16 0
25 Jan. 2024
CSH
CS Herediano
2 - 1
Deportivo Saprissa
SAP
42%
27%
32%
73 75 2 0
21 Jan. 2024
CSH
CS Herediano
0 - 1
San Carlos
SAN
54%
24%
22%
73 69 4 0
18 Jan. 2024
MUN
Municipal Liberia
0 - 1
CS Herediano
CSH
24%
27%
49%
73 61 12 0
14 Jan. 2024
CSH
CS Herediano
1 - 0
Pérez Zeledón
PER
73%
18%
10%
72 57 15 +1

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
TOL
Toluca
4 - 1
León
LEO
55%
23%
23%
81 80 1 0
31 Jan. 2024
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 2
Toluca
TOL
37%
26%
37%
81 79 2 0
27 Jan. 2024
PUE
Puebla
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
32%
25%
44%
81 75 6 0
21 Jan. 2024
TOL
Toluca
4 - 1
Mazatlán
MAZ
71%
18%
12%
81 71 10 0
13 Jan. 2024
QRO
Querétaro
2 - 2
Toluca
TOL
22%
25%
54%
82 71 11 -1