Heredia vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
COM
3 - 0
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
VEN
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
HER
2 - 3
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
JAL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
3 - 2
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
XIN
1 - 1
CHI
49%
27%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ZAC
3 - 1
XIN
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
XIN
1 - 1
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VEN
3 - 2
XIN
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
XIN
2 - 1
JAL
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |