Heredia vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
JAL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
JAL
1 - 0
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
COM
1 - 2
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
XIN
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
JAL
1 - 0
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
XIN
3 - 2
LEO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
XIN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
COM
3 - 1
XIN
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
XIN
2 - 1
JAL
46%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
XIN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |