Heredia vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
JAL
1 - 0
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
VEN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
ZAC
1 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
MUN
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
XIN
1 - 1
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 2
XIN
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
XIN
1 - 0
COM
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
XIN
1 - 1
JAL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
VEN
2 - 0
XIN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |