Heredia vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SLC
4 - 2
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
PUE
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
HUE
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 2
HAL
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
IZT
0 - 1
NUE
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 3
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
27%
24%
50%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SLC
3 - 3
NUE
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |