Heredia vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
MIX
1 - 0
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
IZT
3 - 2
HER
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
DEP
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
HAL
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
MIX
1 - 0
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DSA
1 - 1
MIX
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MIX
1 - 0
COM
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 1
MIX
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIX
4 - 0
DEP
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +2 |