Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 0
HER
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
COB
79%
13%
8%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
HER
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAY
4 - 1
HER
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 2
CON
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
SAC
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
SAY
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |