Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
HER
4 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VEN
3 - 1
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
COA
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
TOR
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 2
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |