Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 1
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
ESC
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 2
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
DEP
46%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 0
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
LEO
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |