Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 1
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
CHI
6 - 2
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
HAL
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
CON
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
VEN
45%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |