Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
VEN
1 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
HER
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HER
1 - 0
XIN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
MUN
3 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
RET
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
XIN
1 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CON
1 - 3
MUN
46%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
RET
0 - 0
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
TOR
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |