Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 1
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MUN
3 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
HER
5 - 1
CON
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
HER
4 - 3
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
LEO
0 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
COM
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
HER
5 - 1
CON
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CON
2 - 0
JAL
32%
26%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CHI
5 - 0
CON
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |