Heredia vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
HER
4 - 3
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
LEO
0 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
HER
3 - 0
VEN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
COM
4 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
JAL
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CON
2 - 0
JAL
32%
26%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CHI
5 - 0
CON
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ZAC
2 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CON
1 - 1
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 0
CON
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |