Heredia vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
JAL
2 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
LEO
3 - 0
HER
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ANT
1 - 2
HER
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
COB
1 - 0
JAL
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
COB
3 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MUN
5 - 2
COB
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
COM
3 - 1
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
LEO
4 - 0
COB
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |