Heredia vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 0
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HER
5 - 0
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
HAL
3 - 2
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
COA
3 - 0
LEO
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
COA
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COA
1 - 2
MUN
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
COM
6 - 0
COA
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
COA
1 - 1
VEN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |