Heredia vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
IZT
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
HER
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HER
4 - 2
NUE
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 2
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
SLC
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HUE
3 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
SLC
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |