Hércules vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SEV
1 - 2
HER
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 5
VAD
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
HER
3 - 0
ALA
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
ELC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
XER
5 - 3
MUR
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 1
XER
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
XER
1 - 0
UDL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RSO
0 - 0
XER
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
XER
2 - 0
LEV
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |