Hércules vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
SFE
2 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
HER
3 - 1
LEV
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
CDB
2 - 2
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
HER
2 - 0
BET
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
MAL
3 - 0
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
XER
2 - 0
PUL
74%
15%
11%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
CDT
0 - 0
XER
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
SFE
1 - 1
XER
70%
16%
14%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
XER
2 - 1
LEV
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
CDB
3 - 0
XER
70%
17%
14%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |