Hércules vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
VAL
2 - 0
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
ALC
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
HER
3 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MLL
1 - 2
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
GRA
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
XER
1 - 1
MAL
39%
24%
36%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
XER
2 - 1
CAT
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
XER
3 - 0
MEL
60%
20%
19%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
UDE
3 - 1
XER
64%
18%
18%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
XER
0 - 0
UDL
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |