Hércules vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GET
3 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
SEV
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
VCF
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FCB
0 - 2
HER
90%
8%
2%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRU
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 3
VIL
31%
26%
44%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LEV
1 - 2
VIL
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |