Hércules vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
29%
30%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
COR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TER
0 - 0
HER
27%
29%
44%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
HER
2 - 3
CDE
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RCD
1 - 2
HER
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 3
LLE
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BAD
1 - 0
VAL
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 0
OLO
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 1
LEV
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
COR
3 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |