Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
MUR
0 - 2
HER
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
HER
1 - 3
ATM
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
BET
1 - 0
HER
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
HER
0 - 0
RSO
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
OSA
2 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
ATM
2 - 3
VCF
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
VCF
1 - 1
MAL
62%
22%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
RSO
4 - 1
VCF
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
VCF
1 - 1
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
BET
1 - 3
VCF
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |