Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
SPO
3 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1981 |
HER
2 - 1
LOG
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
HER
2 - 0
ESP
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
SEV
0 - 0
HER
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
BET
1 - 1
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1981 |
VCF
2 - 2
SEV
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
RSO
2 - 1
VCF
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1980 |
UDL
1 - 4
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
VCF
4 - 1
OSA
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |