Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 0
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
HER
2 - 0
CEL
60%
24%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
RAC
0 - 2
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
GIR
0 - 2
VCF
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
RAC
3 - 1
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
VCF
5 - 2
SEV
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
RAY
0 - 1
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
WBA
2 - 0
VCF
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |